Introduction
Preinstrumental information on earthquakes is important in
seismicity studies of New Mexico because it covers a time period,
1849 through 1961, which is three times as great as the period of
instrumental recording. Prior to 1962, the strengths of earthquakes
were expressed in terms of maximum earthquake intensity, Io; a
quantity assigned on the basis of what people observe during an
earthquake, damage to structures, etc. The scale used to rank
intensities in the United States is the Modified Mercalli-1931
(Richter, 1958). Merging of preinstrumental and instrumental data
requires conversion of the maximum reported intensities to
magnitudes. Gutenberg and Richter (1956) derived the empirical
relation
M = 1 + 2/3 Io. (1)
Because this relation is based exclusively on data from
California, it cannot be used on New Mexico earthquakes without
confirming its applicability.
Data
In October, 1987, I was able to find 24 New Mexico earthquakes with both intensity and magnitude estimates (data from National Geophysical Data Center). Table 1 summaries intensity and magnitude data for the 24 events. Four average magnitudes were calculated for the earthquakes with reported maximum intensities of IV, V, VI and VII. The standard deviations on these average magnitudes are quite large inasmuch as reported maximum intensity can be dependent on factors such as distance to the epicenter, depth of focus, crustal Q, type of ground, and fault mechanism. However, note that the average magnitudes are consistently lower than estimates based on the Gutenberg-Richter relation. For example, equation (1) yields a magnitude of 5.0 for an Io of VI, whereas the observed average magnitude for that intensity in New Mexico is 4.2. A linear regression on the magnitude/intensity data pairs in Table 1 yields
M = 0.51 + 0.67 Io, (2)
which is considerably different from the Gutenberg-Richter
relation.
List below are possible explanations for the significant difference between the New Mexico and California based magnitude-maximum intensity empirical equations:
1. Crustal Q is higher in New Mexico than California. In New Mexico seismic waves from an earthquake are less attenuated in the crust and therefore produce stronger ground motions at the epicenter than in California.
2. The majority of earthquakes in New Mexico have normal fault mechanisms whereas the majority in California have strike-slip mechanisms. For earthquakes of equal strength and depth, the radiation pattern for a normal fault will produce stronger ground motion at the epicenter than a strike-slip fault.
3. Focal depths are shallower on average in New Mexico than California which produces higher intensities on average for New Mexico earthquakes.
An observation of some interest is that the coefficient of the Io
term is the same for the California and New Mexico relations,
equation (1) and (2). The agreement is fortuitous because the
uncertainties in this term are large for both cases. The California
relation is probably somewhat better constrained than the New Mexico
relation because Gutenberg and Richter used about twice as many data
pairs as were available for the New Mexico analysis. However, the
spread in magnitudes for specific reported Io values is approximately
the same for both data sets.
Summary
Magnitude and maximum intensities for 24 New Mexico earthquakes
produced an empirical equation between these two quantities which is
significantly different than the Gutenberg-Richter California based
relation. Possible explanations for the observed difference are (1)
higher crustal Q in New Mexico, (2) dominantly normal fault
mechanisms in New Mexico versus strike-slip fault mechanisms in
California, and (3) shallower focal depths on average in New
Mexico.
My analysis clearly indicates that the use of the Gutenberg-Richter relation to convert observed New Mexico maximum intensities to magnitudes leads to over estimations on the order of 1/2 magnitude unit. The adoption of the relation obtained in this study is recommended in order not to overstate the hazard on the basis of the preinstrumental data for earthquakes in New Mexico.
References
Gutenberg, B. And C.F. Richter (1956) Earthquake magnitude,
intensity, energy and acceleration, Bull. Seismol. Soc.
Am., 46, 105-145.
Richter, C.F. (1958) Elementary Seismology, W.H. Freeman
and Co., San Francisco, 768 p.
Table 1. Maximum Intensity and Average Magniutde for 24 New Mexico Earthquakes
|
Maximum Intensity |
Number of |
Average |
Standard |
|
IV |
9 |
3.49 |
0.84 |
|
V |
8 |
3.56 |
0.59 |
|
VI |
6 |
4.22 |
0.50 |
|
VII |
1 |
5.5 |
|